CNN Poll: Americans Divided Over Confidence in New House GOP Majority or Biden



CNN

According to a new CNN, Americans are almost evenly divided on whether they have more trust in newly empowered Republicans in the US House of Representatives (51%) or in President Joe Biden (49%) to deal with the big issues facing the country today Survey conducted by SSRS.

But when asked about the impact of Republican control of the House of Representatives on several key issues, the public expects positive changes in few areas.

The midterm election shifted control of the House to the Republicans, who will take over in January, while the Democrats retained control of the Senate. After an election in which neither party received a clear mandate from voters, Americans have mixed feelings about the results and the impact they could have on important issues.

All in all, the public expects that the GOP’s takeover of the House of Representatives will improve the federal budget, and say by an 11-point margin that Republican control will have a positive rather than a negative effect. But Americans are more divided over the impact the GOP majority has on inflation (37% positive, 33% negative), gun policy (39% positive, 41% negative), and tax policy (34% positive, 38% negative). ) will have. And they are more likely to expect negative impacts on immigration laws (32% positive, 41% negative) and the level of cooperation within the federal government (23% positive, 43% negative).

Republicans have signaled their intention to launch multiple investigations into the Biden administration and have asked members of the House Select Committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the US Capitol to keep records and transcripts, suggesting the possibility a counter-examination indicates. Americans expect the Republican takeover of the House of Representatives to have a largely negative impact on investigations into the 6th attack (38% negative).

Americans are about as likely to say they are happy with the outcome of the election (28%) as they are to a large extent disappointed (30%). However, Democrats are significantly more optimistic than Republicans. Democrats and pro-democracy independents are about twice as likely to describe themselves as happy about the election (42%) than disappointed (19%) and slightly more likely to say their side is winning in politics in general (25%). more than lose (21%). Republicans and Republican-leaning supporters say they’re mostly disappointed by a 26-point margin and say they’re mostly on the losing side by a 17-point margin.

And Democrats have seen a small surge in favor while Republicans have not. Overall public opinion of the Republican Party is negative, with 38% of Americans voting the GOP positively and 45% negatively, similar to a June-July CNN poll. Views of the Democratic Party are more divided, with 41% positive and 44% negative. That’s an increase from the party’s 35% positive rating this summer, reflecting a modest increase in positive sentiment among both Democrats and independents.

None of the key leaders in the House of Representatives are particularly popular with the public, but perceptions within their own parties are generally positive. While 53% of adult Americans have a negative opinion of outgoing House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and only 33% have a positive opinion, Democrats and Pro-Democratic Independents express positive views by about a 3-to-1 margin (63% positive, 20% unfavorable). Far fewer Americans have formed an opinion about the new Democratic House leader, Hakeem Jeffries (64% have either not heard of him or are yet to form an opinion), but pro-Democratic views are generally positive (33% positive, 5% unfavorable among Democrats). and democratically-oriented independents). The views of House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy, who is vying to be Speaker, across the public are negative, 36% unfavorable to 19% positive, with almost half unsure what they think of him. There has been a positive shift among Republicans and Republican-leaning supporters since this summer: 39% now have a positive opinion and 16% have a negative opinion, compared to 19% positive and 28% negative in the CNN poll this summer .

Half of Americans currently say the GOP’s views and policies are too extreme and not generally mainstream, while 44% say the Democratic Party is too extreme — both numbers little changed since last summer.

Both Democrats and Republicans say they are broadly satisfied with the way their parties are doing, but more than 3 in 10 in each party say they would see significant changes.

A majority of both Democrats and Republicans say their party needs little change or no change at all, although there is a slightly broader desire for a shakeup within the GOP. Nearly 4 in 10 Republicans and Republican-leaning supporters say the party needs either major changes (31%) or outright reform (7%), while about a third of Democrats and Democratic voters say a similar need for major changes (26%) or see full reform (8%) within the Democratic Party.

Generational conflicts arose within the Democratic Party. Democratic adults under 45 are more likely than those over 45 to see the need for major change, ranging from 42% to 25%. And among those who support the Democratic Party and think it needs bigger changes, 14% say the party needs to recruit younger candidates or do more to appeal to young voters.

Those who said their party needed significant change were asked to state in their own words the main reason why change was needed.

“The Democratic Party needs new, honest leadership that reflects the growing diversity of the American people,” said one respondent to the poll. Another replied: “I don’t mean the existing Democratic leaders are doing a bad job, though [it] perhaps the time has come for a new generation of leaders.”

Another 12% say the Democratic Party isn’t aggressive enough or needs to push harder for change, 9% say it’s not progressive enough, and 8% say it’s too liberal. Another 7% call the subscriber as unavailable or unresponsive.

Among those allied with the GOP who believe the party needs fundamental change, 15% say the party should reconsider its relationship with former President Donald Trump, 10% say it has become too extreme or far-right, and 8% say the party needs to find some new faces.

The GOP “must drop Trump and return to conservatism,” one respondent responded to the poll, while another wrote, “I feel my party is doing NOTHING to help our beloved country.”

While 6% lamented the deadlock or said the GOP should compromise more, 4% wanted the party to take more action against the Democrats, and 5% said it should take more conservative positions.

After the defeat of many prominent 2020 election deniers in this year’s midterms, the GOP’s appetite for such candidates has dipped slightly: 65% of Republicans and Republican supporters say the party should accept candidates who believe the 2020 election was stolen from 72% in July. The proportion who say the party should accept candidates who recognize the legitimacy of the election is 62%, virtually unchanged since the summer.

At the same time, the GOP’s already low confidence in the election has fallen further, further deepening the confidence divide between the parties. Only 34% of Republican-leaning adults say they are reasonably confident that today’s election in America reflects the will of the people, down from 43% in October. Seventy percent of pro-democracy adults express confidence in the country’s elections, up from 61 percent before this year’s midterm.

This CNN poll was conducted by SSRS December 1-7 among a random national sample of 1,208 adults drawn from a probability-based panel. The surveys were conducted either online or over the phone with a live interviewer. The full sample results have a sampling error margin of plus or minus 3.6 points; it is larger for subgroups.

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